| Model 1 | Model 2 |  | Model 3 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OR | p | CI- | CI+ | OR | p | CI- | CI+ | OR | p | CI- | CI+ | |
Predisposing factors | ||||||||||||
 Age centered on 18 | 1.05 | *** | 1.04 | 1.06 | 1.03 | *** | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.03 | *** | 1.02 | 1.04 |
 Black | 1.35 | *** | 1.17 | 1.56 | 1.27 | *** | 1.09 | 1.47 | 1.35 | *** | 1.14 | 1.59 |
 Hispanic | 0.93 |  | 0.78 | 1.12 | 0.92 |  | 0.76 | 1.10 | 0.94 |  | 0.77 | 1.17 |
 Other race | 1.00 |  | 0.78 | 1.29 | 1.00 |  | 0.77 | 1.29 | 0.90 |  | 0.65 | 1.22 |
 Foreign born | 1.20 |  | 0.93 | 1.53 | 1.26 |  | 0.98 | 1.62 | 1.36 | * | 1.03 | 1.79 |
 Never married | 1.19 | * | 1.04 | 1.36 | 1.10 |  | 0.96 | 1.27 | 1.14 |  | 0.98 | 1.33 |
 High school education | 0.99 |  | 0.87 | 1.13 | 0.88 | * | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.87 |  | 0.75 | 1.01 |
 Prior employment | 0.95 |  | 0.84 | 1.09 | 1.00 |  | 0.87 | 1.14 | 0.96 |  | 0.82 | 1.12 |
 Veteran | 0.87 |  | 0.70 | 1.08 | 0.91 |  | 0.74 | 1.13 | 0.84 |  | 0.67 | 1.07 |
Vulnerability factors | ||||||||||||
 Past incarceration episodes | 0.96 |  | 0.91 | 1.01 | 1.03 |  | 0.98 | 1.08 | 1.01 |  | 0.95 | 1.07 |
 Mood/anxiety disorder | 1.35 | *** | 1.15 | 1.57 | 1.37 | *** | 1.17 | 1.61 | 0.95 |  | 0.79 | 1.14 |
 Schizophrenia | 1.79 | ** | 1.20 | 2.67 | 1.75 | ** | 1.17 | 2.62 | 2.07 | *** | 1.32 | 3.22 |
 Alcohol/drug dependence | 0.99 |  | 0.88 | 1.12 | 1.04 |  | 0.92 | 1.18 | 0.99 |  | 0.86 | 1.14 |
Enabling factors | ||||||||||||
 Visits from family/friends | ||||||||||||
  1 in past month |  |  |  |  | 1.20 | * | 1.00 | 1.44 | 1.16 |  | 0.95 | 1.42 |
  2+ in past month |  |  |  |  | 1.19 | * | 1.01 | 1.41 | 1.18 |  | 0.97 | 1.43 |
 Phone calls from family/friends | ||||||||||||
  1 in past week |  |  |  |  | 0.96 |  | 0.81 | 1.13 | 1.04 |  | 0.86 | 1.25 |
  2+ in past week |  |  |  |  | 1.04 |  | 0.90 | 1.20 | 1.12 |  | 0.96 | 1.32 |
 Drug offender |  |  |  |  | 0.95 |  | 0.81 | 1.12 | 0.98 |  | 0.82 | 1.19 |
 Violent offender |  |  |  |  | 1.28 | *** | 1.11 | 1.47 | 1.18 | * | 1.01 | 1.38 |
 Hours in work assignment |  |  |  |  | 1.00 | * | 1.00 | 1.01 | 1.01 | * | 1.00 | 1.01 |
 Years incarcerated |  |  |  |  | 1.21 | *** | 1.18 | 1.25 | 1.14 | *** | 1.10 | 1.18 |
 Years incarcerated squared |  |  |  |  | 0.99 | *** | 0.99 | 1.00 | 1.00 | *** | 0.99 | 1.00 |
Need factors | ||||||||||||
 Medical problem |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 7.28 | *** | 5.81 | 9.12 |
 Illness |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 1.88 | *** | 1.59 | 2.21 |
 Dental problem |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 8.22 | *** | 7.00 | 9.65 |
 Unintentional injury |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 6.40 | *** | 5.10 | 8.03 |
 Intentional injury |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 3.38 | *** | 2.64 | 4.33 |
Model fit statistics | ||||||||||||
 Log likelihood ratio | −3778.5 |  |  |  | −3619.5 |  |  |  | -2873.1 |  |  |  |
 AIC | 7585.1 |  |  |  | 7285.0 |  |  |  | 5802.3 |  |  |  |
 BIC | 7684.2 |  |  |  | 7448.0 |  |  |  | 6000.7 |  |  |  |